What are the chances of winning a disability appeal?
By Hogan Smith
Updated 04/21/2025
If your initial Social Security Disability application was denied, you’re not alone. The majority of claims are denied at the first stage—but the good news is that appealing the decision can significantly improve your chances. Understanding the appeal process and your odds of success at each stage can help you prepare effectively and boost your likelihood of winning.
Find out if you qualify for SSDI benefits. Pre-qualify in 60 seconds for up to $4,018 per month and 12 months back pay.
Please answer a few questions to help us determine your eligibility.
Appeal Levels and Success Rates
Reconsideration
This is the first level of appeal, where the SSA reviews your application again with a fresh set of eyes.
- Chance of approval: Around 13%–15% of reconsiderations result in an approval.
- Tip: Make sure to submit any new medical evidence you’ve gathered since your initial application.
Hearing Before an Administrative Law Judge (ALJ)
If reconsideration is denied, you can request a hearing before a judge. This is where many applicants see the biggest improvement in their chances.
- Chance of approval: Nationwide, 45%–55% of claims are approved at the hearing level.
- Tip: This is your best opportunity to explain your situation in person and present comprehensive medical evidence. Having a representative or attorney significantly increases your odds here.
Appeals Council
If the ALJ denies your claim, the next step is to request a review by the Appeals Council.
- Chance of approval: Only about 10%–15% of these cases are sent back to the ALJ or approved directly.
- Tip: You’ll need a strong argument showing that the judge made a legal or procedural error.
Federal Court Review
This is the final option, where you file a lawsuit in federal court.
- Chance of success: Outcomes vary widely, but only a small percentage succeed without legal representation.
Factors That Affect Your Chances
- Quality of medical evidence
- Consistency in treatment and documentation
- Severity of your condition
- Your age, education, and work history
- Whether you have professional representation
Each case is unique, and while statistics give a general picture, your individual circumstances matter greatly.
How Hogan Smith Can Help
At Hogan Smith, we specialize in helping clients navigate the appeals process. Our team will:
- Analyze your denial letter and pinpoint weak areas
- Collect additional medical records and supporting evidence
- Represent you at your disability hearing
- Craft persuasive arguments based on your condition and legal standards
Contact Hogan Smith Today
Don’t face the disability appeals process alone. Contact Hogan Smith for a free consultation. We’ll review your case, answer your questions, and help you understand your chances—so you can move forward with confidence.
Further Reading
Boost Your Chance of Being Approved
Get the Compensation You Deserve
Our experts have helped thousands like you get cash benefits.
How It Works
1
Briefly tell us about your case
2
Provide your contact information
3
Choose attorneys to contact you